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As 2025 draws to a close, the former president's favorable approach to cryptocurrency has not proven to suffice to support the industry’s gains, previously the source of market-wide hope and enthusiasm. The final quarter of the year have seen roughly $1 trillion in value wiped from the digital asset market, despite bitcoin hitting a record peak of $126,000 in early October.
That record high proved temporary. Bitcoin’s price plummeted shortly afterward after a declaration of sweeping tariffs on China sent shockwaves throughout financial markets in mid-October. The crypto market saw a staggering $19 billion wiped out within a day – the largest liquidation event ever documented. The second-largest crypto, Ethereum, endured a 40 percent decline in price over the next month.
Crypto advocates got the supportive administration they were promised during the campaign. Within days after inauguration, an executive order was issued rolling back restrictions on cryptocurrency while enacting new favorable regulations alongside a federal task force focused on crypto.
“The digital asset industry is a vital component for technological progress and economic growth in the United States, as well as our Nation’s global standing,” the order read.
Later in March, the announcement of a cryptocurrency reserve fueled a significant rally in the market, with values for several included tokens jumping by over 60%. The leading cryptocurrency rose 10% in the hours after the reserve was announced.
Cryptocurrency is sensitive to market sentiment and confidence in global markets, said a leading analyst. It is classified as a speculative investment, an investment that does better during periods of optimism about the economy and are ready to assume greater risk.
“The administration may be pro-crypto, however, trade wars and tight monetary policy outweigh positive vibes,” they continued. “And it’s also just a reminder, especially for people in crypto, that broader economic factors are far more significant than political support.”
In November, BTC underwent its most severe decline in value since 2021, pushing its price below $81,000. Although bitcoin regained some of that value afterward, the start of the final month with another slump, a six percent fall following a leading corporate holder slashing its profit outlook because of falling digital asset values. Bitcoin’s price now hovers near $90,000.
Market observers are concerned the sector may be heading into what's termed a prolonged bear market, a period of low activity or losses. The previous such downturn persisted from late 2021 into 2023. That period witnessed Bitcoin fall approximately 70% in price.
“This latest collapse isn’t a change in sentiment, but rather a confluence of three structural factors: the lingering effects of a massive leverage washout; a risk-off rotation spurred by geopolitical trade disputes; and, importantly, the potential unraveling of the corporate treasury trade,” stated a lab founder.
Another potential factor impacting digital assets is the downturn in share prices of artificial intelligence companies. “A key reason why bitcoin is tied to the AI cycle is because a lot of bitcoin miners have shifted their energy towards new datacenters,” an expert said. “Pessimism in tech tends to sneak into crypto.”
Amid the worries over a crypto winter, notable players within the industry have expressed confidence about the long-term value of Bitcoin. One executive said “it is impossible” the price of bitcoin would go to zero and in fact 2025 would be seen as the year “when crypto went from gray market to a mainstream institution”. A separate noted growing interest from institutional investors.
Analysts suggest this downturn fits the pattern of past market cycles , adding that a much more sustained downturn may not be imminent.
“If I was looking at it from traditional bitcoin cycle, we are actually currently in a bear market,” came the assessment. “However, it's clear, even with these major headwinds impacting markets, bitcoin has still managed to set a price above $80,000.”
A passionate linguist and writer dedicated to helping others improve their communication through creative storytelling.